Donald Trump Leads the Pack in Iowa Caucus
The race for the 2024 Republican nomination is heating up, and according to recent polling, former President Donald Trump is leading the pack by a substantial margin. With only about ten days to go before the Iowa caucus, the numbers are looking very good for Trump. According to CNN’s senior data reporter Harry Enten, Trump’s lead in Iowa is the “strongest” in the history of the event.
CNN Data Reporter: Trump Has ‘Strongest’ Iowa Poll Numbers in History
CNN’s Harry Enten, referring to data from the Des Moines Register poll, stated that Trump is currently leading the Republican candidates in both New Hampshire and Iowa at 46% and 51% respectively. This puts him ahead of former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, both of whom are counting on a strong showing in early states.
Enten emphasized just how strong Trump’s numbers are, saying, “It’s an enormous lead! I’m gonna show the trend line for the Des Moines Register poll which is the premier poll in that state. And what you essentially see here is Donald Trump has only gotten stronger. He was at 43% in October. Look where he is now. More than a majority, more than 50%, a majority at 51%.”
The numbers have to be discouraging for the campaigns of challengers Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis, who are both counting on a strong showing in early states. Haley is trailing Trump by 24.8% and 16% in New Hampshire and Iowa respectively.
History of Iowa Caucus Winners
While Iowa is not necessarily indicative of how all the upcoming primaries and caucuses will go in the various states, Trump’s lead is worth paying attention to. In 2016, Ted Cruz won Iowa but lost to Trump in the long run. In 2012, Rick Santorum won Iowa, only to be beaten by Mitt Romney. In 2008, eventual winner John McCain took last place in Iowa.
But if Donald Trump is currently outpacing every other candidate in the history of such an event, it’s worth paying attention to. As CNN’s Frank Luntz said, “It’s a foregone conclusion. There is no other way. No one ever says never. But in Iowa, Donald Trump is absolutely going to win and I will be watching to see if he gets more or less 50% of the vote.”
The Iowa caucus could very well set the tone for the 2024 Republican nomination, and the strong showing by Donald Trump is certainly making waves in the political world. The numbers speak for themselves, and with the first presidential contest just around the corner, all eyes will be on Iowa.
2024 has only just begun, but the road to the Republican nomination is already looking very interesting. With Donald Trump leading the pack in Iowa, the race for the nomination is shaping up to be an exciting one.
